Dimitris Ritsonis
Continuing with our Euroleague Fantasy Challenege series, DraftExpress provides the users with as many tools possible in order to improve their odds in chasing 1st place, either in the weekly competition or for the entire prize.
As time goes by, we are discovering many new things that can help the user achieve a better and smoother approach to the game, and consequently better results.
First of all, as the competition is much higher this season in comparison to the two previous ones, it is wise to be more careful with your changes. A quick wandering on the basketball forums around the net allows us to see that many of the users have not been careful enough in the first week and some of their teams are now out of the game, forcing them to build new ones, using a new account. An impressive 25% rise in the number of teams before game two proves that the game has become an important one for thousands of people around Europe and the teams might further rise after the next couple of weeks or so. Thats how much it takes for the average user to get discouraged and lose hope on teams that have played less games than the leading ones.
But, lets start with the review of the 2nd game day, a relatively tough week, with some players showing some good stuff and others further disappointing.
Day 2 Review
There was good and bad news last week, leading to a new reality for Fantasy players. If Carlos Cabezas was the best thing that could happen for a bargain price rise a week ago, he is now the worst enemy of every fantasy player. His injury which might keep him out until the end of the month is killing many users who have purchased him at 49.5, hoping for straight maximum points for the following three weeks, only to see him getting injured after only 11 minutes (with a score of 8 up to then) in the home loss of Unicaja to Joventut. Cabezas will be impossible to replace right now, with Davor Kus being seemingly the best guy in the market to fill the role, after a promising game vs Panathinaikos and given that he is hot in Adriatic League too.
On the other hand, the good news is that DraftExpress sleeper pick from day 1, Eric Campbell of LeMans has been a superb steal and a top player right now, earning Player of the Week honours and seeking for his third straight week maximum points in the tough Thursday road game against Efes Pilsen. Campbell, a top pick this week too, only needs 6.5 fantasy points for a max rise and is an early candidate for a fourth straight max score next week too with an average score of 20 in the next two games (he has 28.1 so far).
Joining Campbell in the top steals category so far, Jordi Trias, probably the most surprising pick of the year, has shocked fantasy users with a second straight 25+ performance, this time versus Benetton. Being closer than anyone to a potential 5+ straight max scores and despite his low average (which will be giving him only limited weekly rise), Trias is a guaranteed value rise almost for free, being that he costs only 33.1 credits.
Other steals include Panathinaikos effective post force Mike Batiste, Zalgiris PG Marko Popovic, Olimpijas rising wing Domen Lorbek, 1st-week shocker and do-it-all guard Alex Acker of Olympiakos, the strong and persistent Michael Wright of Pau-Orthez and Partizans hot youngster Luka Bogdanovic, all of whom can get further max rise for different reasons because of at least one strong outcome within the first couple of games.
THE DISAPPOINTMENTS
There are stars who disappoint here and there for different reasons. David Andersen of CSKA isnt just another bigman this year. He is the bigman whose condition is bad and his value will really go down before he bounces back. Already, his averages are notably lower than last season and he should be sinking to around at least 50 in the next 2-3 weeks with consecutive max drops. It would be a great idea to be patient enough to buy him then, because as soon as he returns to form, he is a top-10 Euroleague player.
Similarly, Luis Scola will see his value drop down to around 60 before he gains enough power to return to full form. Unlike Andersen, he is stable, strong and a go-to player for Tau, but it would be great if he lost max points for the 3rd straight week and then we could purchase an MVP contender at half price.
Some of the expensive point guards on the market are yet to feel at home with their new teams. Willie Solomon is all but stable in Fenerbahce and a second straight max fall was impossible to avoid. Efes Pilsen plays better without Horace Jenkins on the roster. Tony Delk and Sani Becirovic share minutes but arent effective enough for Panathinaikos. Instability also chases newcoming big men, like Will Bynum, who was day and night in the first two games, Kaya Peker (still a stranger in Vitoria), veteran star Carlos Jimenez, who is a role player instead of a leader in Unicaja. Even an experienced (and not newcoming) star like Mirsad Turkcan killed his value versus Pau-Orthez and so did Brent Wright with his 5 versus Panathinaikos, so there are many factors to consider, when it comes to coaching staff and the opponent.
3RD WEEK PREVIEW
Rhein Energie Tau Ceramica
Rhein is a nice 3rd tier team but the game is a toughie for them, so the 10% gain for wins is almost impossible... Ronald Burrell had a great game last week and needs 12.7 points for the 7.5 max raise
Desmond Mallet has to go, with his price at 39.7 and his unstable first 2 games
Martin Gortat is still not stable
Alvin Jones was awful last week, but rebounded with a great weekend game in domestic competition
Luis Scola will fall further this week and is better to purchase next week
Zoran Planinic is slowly becoming a top prospect for this game
Igor Rakocevic is on fire and the teams best player so far
Tiago Splitters health is still questionable for the game
Mirza Teletovic is still unstable and wont be seeing much playing time from now on.
Dynamo Moscow Climamio Bologna
Bojan Popovic sees a lot of minutes but is hardly similarly effective
Eddie Gill is yet to roll and is an overrated pick, even at 39
Lazaros Papadopoulos bad second game makes him a guy to stay away from for the next couple of weeks
Dmitry Domani will be falling for two more weeks and then he will be an amazing pick in the 20s
Travis Hansen and Antonis Fotsis are impressive as well as unstable, so dont trust them
Marko Belinellis fall continues, so wait until he reaches the 40s... He didnt play this weekend in Italy
Tyus Edney is too old to remain stable and wont be a good guy to buy at 65
James Thomas at 37 might lose some more, but he will then be an awesome pick, especially after a fantastic weekend game
Too bad for Vasco Evtimov who is a top-10 fantasy player per minute but we cant trust him due to his limited playing time
Preston Shumpert saves the day for them and is a trustworthy pick at 58.
Efes Pilsen Le Mans
Cenk Akyol is one of the best players so far, never leaving the court, except if he is injured... He needs a 10 for his 3rd straight max rise
News on Casey Jacobsens potential acquisition may not affect Akyol's playing time this week either
Horace Jenkins is harming his team more than he helps and will lose the max for a couple more weeks at least
Kerem Gonlum remains a stable force and isnt a risky pick even at 66
Ermal Kuqos second straight max fall should be the last one and hes a great buy at 33
Marcus Haislip wont be repeating his previous performance any time soon
Eric Campbell is a top-5 fantasy player so far and his potential third max from 73 makes him a solid pick
Sell Kenny Gregory now, at 82, as he only gets max with a 27 and can give you a lot of credits to spend
Sandro Nicevic isnt a bad pick, but not a safe one either, especially at 72.
Olympiakos Prokom
Alex Acker is a top-5 fantasy player so far, despite his many turnovers and young age
He needs a 1 score this week for his third straight max rise and a score of 23 total in the next two games to get the fourth straight max
Henry Domercant is the guy to substitute Kenny Gregory of LeMans with, needing only 10 points to rise his value by 12 and being on fire lately
Andrija Zizic has saved a lot of users so far, thanks to a great 1st Week game, but will need a 12 to reach his third max in a row
Still he is a safer pick than most in the market, especially at 52
Sofoklis Schortsanitis is a tremendous pick, even at 71, but a lot depends on his playing time
Huseyin Besok played last week but this coming game wont be the best one for him to dominate
Christian Dalmau is stable but will likely lose some more value and fall in the late 30s before we buy him
Donatas Slanina will be a great pick to consider after he falls in the late 20s
Rashid Atkins and Justin Hamilton form a poor PG line fantasy wise.
Joventut Partizan
An awesome road win for Joventut against Unicaja will be pushing the teams players for the 10% again this week
Rudy Fernandez seems to emerge as the teams leader and now, in the late 50s, he is tempting to purchase
Ricky Rubio didnt play this time
Check for Marcelinho who will be interesting once he reaches the mid-20s
Charles Gaines did well in the weekend and he may fall in the late 30s after this game
Partizan is hot in the Euroleague after beating Maccabi last week
Luka Bogdanovic is a top-5 fantasy player so far
A long-term project who kept it going in the weekend too
Milenko Tepic also sees many minutes and fills the stats
Uros Tripkovic remains the king of instability
Vonteego Cummings had a dreadful Adriatic League game after a royal one versus Maccabi
Peja Drobnjak is a guy to keep an eye on
A third straight max can be reached with a 14
Dont sell Kosta Perovic, who is just underachieving so far
He seems like a nice mid-term project.
Olimpija Panathinaikos
Player injuries and a coachs resignation weren't enough to stop Olimpija from getting its first win last week
Domen Lorbek is a steal out of nowhere seeing 30+ minutes lately and needing a score of 11 in the next two games to reach 4 straight maximum rises in the 4 first weeks
Saso Ozbolt was a great pick at 51, but got injured and will be out for the rest of the month
Teemu Ranikko isnt as effective as last year, but is a safe pick with a score around the mid-teens
Both Ender Arslan and Ivica Jurkovic might be returning to action for this game, possibly leading to less playing minutes for other players
Mike Batiste is the leading fantasy bigman after only two weeks, although he started at 69 and leads the league in average score with 31.4
Dimitris Diamantidis is the top point guard, but wont reach a second max in three games, unless he has a score of 29
Nikos Hatzivretas had a nice second game and can reach max with a 6
Dejan Tomasevic will hardly rise in max score for the third week in a row, so better sell him
Tony Delk and Sani Becirovic are still unstable and will fall much, maybe below the 30s, before they are considered purchasable.
Cibona Unicaja
Cibona plays great at home and might have the best point guard to substitute Carlos Cabezas in your teams in Davor Kus
Kus costs 54.2 but needs a 14.4 for the max and this is still a question-mark
Brent Wright is a killer till further notice, so release him
Chris Warren could be a nice pick, but there are better players at 60
Jerry McCullough is a terrible pick and will be falling for three more weeks at least
Unicaja has a 0-2 start and it wont be an easy task with Cabezas out, although Pepe Sanchez started picking it up... Daniel Santiago will be better in the late 30s and whoever waits shall be rewarded
Berni Rodriguez remains a safe pick even in the 60s
Carlos Jimenez still needs to fall before we buy him
Last week of hope for Kostas Vasiliadis
A third straight max isnt impossible, but he now needs a 9 to do it.
Maccabi Lottomatica Roma
Maccabi will likely win this one, so add the 10% in your calculations
Simas Jasaitis needs a 10 for his second straight max score
Jamie Arnold is the teams steal so far, looking for his third straight max rise, only with a 12
Niko Vujcic fell but wont be collapsing for long, so keep him if you have him
Will Bynum is unstable and we need to wait before purchasing him again
Yotam Halperin, the teams bigger disappointment needs to go further down, in the late 20s and then he is a steal
David Hawkins is so bad lately that we couldnt be happier, watching his value collapsing with two straight max falls and an awful game in Italy
Dejan Bodiroga is a safe pick, but wont be boosting his price anytime soon
Wait for Loukas Mavrokefalidis to stabilize his game before you buy him
Jacopo Giachetti will likely not receive a third straight max, but two is already good.
Pau-Orthez CSKA Moscow
The two teams are not even close quality-wise, but Paus morale is boosted after surprising Fenerbahce-Ulker on the road last week
Ricardo Greer is a player to keep for the season, now that he remains cheap in the mid-60s
Michael Wright had a fantastic game and is a steal at 55, needing an 11 for his second straight max
Wait for C.C. Harrisons and Aaron Miles value to go further down
CSKA rested stars Theo Papaloukas and Matjaz Smodis this weekend, with the latter being questionable for the game due to injury
Still, they are both players in the 70s-80s caliber and its not a risk to purchase them now (or whenever healthy), although Papaloukas might be playing less in uninteresting games like this one
J.R. Holden can give you some value, but he is still overrated, even at 41
Trajan Langdons great first game might force his team to further fall for a couple of more weeks after a bad second one
David Andersen is the worst player to have in your team right now
Anton Ponkrashov is dominating in Russian games and had an 11 in his Euroleague debut.
Benetton Treviso - Fenerbahce-Ulker
Instability chases Benetton from the beginning of the season, but this one should be a win for them, especially with the way that Fener plays
Nikos Zisis, despite his average outcome versus Barcelona last week, is a top PG and a good pick in the late 60s
Excellent Marcus Goree should get more fantasy points for his value
Angelo Gigli and Spencer Nelson are both unstable, although the latter got a two straight maximum rises in the first two games
Fener has serious coaching issues to solve and the big men should be getting the ball more
Mirsad Turkcan only took four shots last week and the result was a home loss to Pau-Orthez and a 5 fantasy score for the Turkish bigman
Kaspars Kambala lost the max in both the first and the second week and now looks better in the early 50s
Avoid Willie Solomon, who has been playing for himself and doesnt produce.
Napoli Aris
Not much in this game, as both teams are pretty weak
Napoli will have great hopes for its first win and this is a good opportunity
Tierre Brown is the teams best player, both fantasy-wise and on court, but is expensive at 69
Mason Rocca should be picking it up anytime soon, so buy him after he loses some more of his value this week
Jeff Trepagnier and Ansu Sesay still have a long way to go till they are considerable prospects
Mike Wilkinsons two maximum rises are likely enough by now, but he can rise a bit more this week due to Napolis weak frontcourt
Savas Iliadis can be a steal in the early 30s, being hot lately
Terell Castle has done well lately, so buy him if he plays well this week
Wait for Alex Scales to play some more, in order to see his stability.
Zalgiris Barcelona
A top game this week, with Zalgiris being more stable at the moment and Barcelona coming from a home loss to Tau in Spain
Marko Popovic is the best PG to consider right now, especially after two maximum rises
Tanoka Beard did what he needed and re-established himself at the top of the bigmen market
Two straight max scores can become three for Kirk Penney, if he scores a 14
Hano Mottola is a considerable pick at 50, after a great second game
Bad two first games of Paulius Jankunas can make him a super steal at 48, so dont sell him
Jordi Trias is the best fantasy player so far and will be rising for the 1st round of the regular season
Juan Carlos Navarro stepped back, but is a top player for your team, despite the filled backcourt
Jaka Lakovic will be losing for a long time, so wait till you buy him
Start considering Mihalis Kakiouzis, who had an awesome game in the weekend